With the possibility of Donald Trump returning to the White House, the Modi government must prepare for renewed pressure on trade terms—especially in the areas of food exports and fuel purchases. These sectors are crucial for India’s economic security and strategic autonomy.
Trump’s earlier term saw a series of protectionist measures. India faced tariff hikes and was even removed from the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP). There is every reason to believe a second Trump term would follow a similar “America First” approach.
India, however, cannot afford to compromise on its essential interests.
First, food exports are a major contributor to India’s rural economy. Farmers depend on international markets. Any pressure to cut back or redirect exports must be resisted. Instead, India can offer collaboration on food technology or climate-resilient crops—without sacrificing its export agenda.
Second, on the fuel front, India’s energy strategy includes diversified sourcing. During Trump’s presidency, India had reduced oil imports from Iran under US pressure. But current geopolitics calls for more flexible partnerships, not fewer. India needs to ensure uninterrupted oil supplies from affordable sources—even if that means saying no to US pressure.
Moreover, India is also investing in renewable energy and green hydrogen. It must stay on course without letting American interests derail its clean energy roadmap.
Yes, India wants strong ties with the US. But friendship doesn’t mean surrendering core interests. With careful diplomacy and strong leadership, India can engage with a potential Trump administration without yielding on trade fundamentals.
